Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#141
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#127
Pace69.3#129
Improvement+1.3#116

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#238
Improvement+5.8#8

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#69
Improvement-4.5#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 238   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 62-60 61%     1 - 0 +0.8 -19.6 +20.2
  Nov 16, 2012 43   Oklahoma L 59-63 30%     1 - 1 +3.0 -17.8 +21.2
  Nov 24, 2012 287   @ Samford W 65-58 73%     2 - 1 +2.2 -3.0 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2012 261   @ North Texas W 72-59 66%     3 - 1 +10.5 -4.7 +14.5
  Dec 01, 2012 88   @ Texas L 54-70 25%     3 - 2 -7.3 -14.2 +7.5
  Dec 03, 2012 316   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 60-51 79%     4 - 2 +2.1 -11.2 +13.9
  Dec 13, 2012 323   Houston Baptist W 81-47 92%     5 - 2 +19.6 -7.3 +21.5
  Dec 19, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 44-69 9%     5 - 3 -8.4 -18.6 +9.9
  Dec 29, 2012 87   New Mexico St. W 68-47 47%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +23.4 +6.1 +20.0
  Dec 31, 2012 54   Denver L 35-50 33%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -9.0 -26.5 +13.4
  Jan 02, 2013 47   Boise St. L 46-64 31%     6 - 5 -11.2 -19.9 +6.4
  Jan 05, 2013 86   Louisiana Tech L 52-55 47%     6 - 6 1 - 2 -0.6 -19.0 +18.5
  Jan 10, 2013 246   @ Texas San Antonio W 75-67 62%     7 - 6 2 - 2 +6.5 -0.5 +7.0
  Jan 12, 2013 252   @ Texas St. W 91-74 64%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +14.9 +23.5 -7.1
  Jan 17, 2013 229   Seattle L 44-61 80%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -24.2 -23.5 -2.5
  Jan 19, 2013 200   Idaho L 64-77 74%     8 - 8 3 - 4 -17.9 -12.2 -6.8
  Jan 24, 2013 116   @ Utah St. W 74-68 31%     9 - 8 4 - 4 +12.7 +1.0 +11.7
  Jan 26, 2013 302   @ San Jose St. W 66-47 76%     10 - 8 5 - 4 +13.1 +1.0 +14.1
  Feb 02, 2013 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 51-64 24%     10 - 9 5 - 5 -4.1 -10.9 +6.2
  Feb 07, 2013 252   Texas St. W 75-50 83%     11 - 9 6 - 5 +16.4 -12.6 +26.1
  Feb 09, 2013 246   Texas San Antonio W 68-63 82%     12 - 9 7 - 5 -3.0 -13.6 +10.3
  Feb 14, 2013 200   @ Idaho W 71-68 50%     13 - 9 8 - 5 +4.5 +0.8 +4.1
  Feb 16, 2013 229   @ Seattle W 65-63 59%     14 - 9 9 - 5 +1.3 +0.6 +0.8
  Feb 20, 2013 316   UT Rio Grande Valley W 63-48 91%     15 - 9 +1.6 -0.7 +5.8
  Feb 23, 2013 135   UC Irvine L 70-77 60%     15 - 10 -8.1 -6.0 -1.7
  Feb 28, 2013 302   San Jose St. W 81-74 90%     16 - 10 10 - 5 -5.4 +0.4 -6.2
  Mar 02, 2013 116   Utah St. W 61-46 55%     17 - 10 11 - 5 +15.2 -8.1 +25.1
  Mar 07, 2013 54   @ Denver L 55-84 15%     17 - 11 11 - 6 -16.5 -8.2 -10.7
  Mar 09, 2013 87   @ New Mexico St. L 66-69 24%     17 - 12 11 - 7 +5.9 -4.4 +10.4
  Mar 14, 2013 116   Utah St. W 83-78 43%     18 - 12 +8.5 +14.1 -5.3
  Mar 15, 2013 246   Texas San Antonio W 69-53 73%     19 - 12 +11.2 +6.9 +7.7
  Mar 16, 2013 87   New Mexico St. L 55-64 35%     19 - 13 -3.4 -10.7 +6.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%